Akron vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • Buffalo U (5-5) are -14.5 point favorites vs Akron (1-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Akron Zips (1-9) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (5-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Buffalo.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Akron vs. Buffalo U is total points.

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Akron vs. Buffalo U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron
Buffalo U

Akron vs Buffalo U Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 72.3% confidence.

Akron vs Buffalo U Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Buffalo U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Akron is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -100% ROI
  • Akron is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Akron is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Buffalo U is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.7% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo U

Akron is winless (0-2) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

Akron is winless (0-17) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .389

Akron is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Akron is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .397

Buffalo U: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Buffalo is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Buffalo is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Buffalo U

Akron’s RBs has rushed for 513 yards on 151 carries (just 3.4 YPC) this season — second-worst among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense have allowed 5.6 YPC this season — fourth-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Akron’s RBs has rushed for 513 yards on 151 carries (just 3.4 YPC) this season — second-worst among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense have allowed 5.6 YPC this season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (107/721) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Akron RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (513 yards/151 carries) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Akron have been sacked 107 times since last season– most among FBS Offenses

Akron QBs have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Akron Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.2 receptions (245 Rec/9 TDs) this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (428 yards / 132 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Buffalo RBs have picked up first downs on 12 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Punters have placed 6% of punts inside the 20 (1/17) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

Buffalo RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (325 yards / 31 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Buffalo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 246 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 246 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 547 attempts (5%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed a passer rating of 164.1 (547.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 132.7

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 547 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has allowed 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (183 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.8

Buffalo has allowed 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (183 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

Buffalo has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (5,010 yards/335 completions) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 45 of their 801 carries (6%) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Buffalo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 59 of 314 carries (19%) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 13%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.