Akron vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Buffalo head coach Pete Lembo, left, watches his team during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Northern Illinois on Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in DeKalb, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • Buffalo U is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • Akron vs. Buffalo Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Akron (2-6) visit UB Stadium to take on Buffalo (4-3) on Oct. 25 in Buffalo, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

Buffalo U is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+9.5 -11047.5 -110280
Buffalo -9.5 -11047.5 -110-350

Akron vs Buffalo Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Buffalo U, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Akron is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -19.7% ROI
  • Akron is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Akron is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI).

  • Buffalo is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.98% ROI
  • Buffalo is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Buffalo is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,933 passing yards in 20 games (just 196.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 235.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs averaged 17.6 yards per reception (88 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Buffalo WRs picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs were targeted 44 times last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 25.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Buffalo opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Buffalo

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Buffalo opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,933 passing yards in 20 games (just 196.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 235.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs averaged 17.6 yards per reception (88 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Buffalo WRs picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs were targeted 44 times last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 25.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,933 passing yards in 20 games (just 196.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 235.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs averaged 17.6 yards per reception (88 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Buffalo WRs picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs were targeted 44 times last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 25.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Buffalo opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,933 passing yards in 20 games (just 196.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 235.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs averaged 17.6 yards per reception (88 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Buffalo WRs picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs were targeted 44 times last week– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo’s WRs has averaged 25.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Buffalo sacked opposing QBs on 29% of pass attempts (4/14) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Buffalo opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Buffalo allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%


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