Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

• The Central Michigan are a -6 point favorite vs. the Akron Zips
• Akron vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Akron (1-3) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on Central Michigan (2-2) on Oct. 3 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Central Michigan are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6 (-120).

The Akron vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Akron vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Akron Zips and the Central Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Akron Best Bets Today

• Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Akron has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.82 Units / 15% ROI)

Central Michigan Best Bets Today

• Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 56% ROI)
• Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron Zips is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Akron is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -6.06% ROI
• Akron is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.52% ROI
• Akron is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.18 Units / -4.11% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Michigan is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

• Central Michigan is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.25% ROI
• Central Michigan is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
• Central Michigan is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Akron was winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .622

Akron was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Akron was 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Akron is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .564

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Central Michigan is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Central Michigan is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .409

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 252 attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense allowed 12.9 RAC last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 4,385 passing yards in 29 games (just 151.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Akron’s defense has allowed 234.0 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s TEs has gained 705 yards on 87 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s TEs has averaged just 7.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron have not been sacked (60 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.9

Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Akron RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 201 carries (67 Carries Per TD) last season– 6th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Akron have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (805 yards/91 catches) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Akron Skill Players have averaged 22.8 receptions per game (91/4) this season– 28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.2

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan have no touchdowns on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 10.7

Central Michigan WRs have no touchdowns on 24 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8

Central Michigan Skill Players have no touchdowns on 41 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7

Central Michigan WRs have averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (175 yards/24 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

Central Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 70 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.6

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron has averaged a sack every 62.5 pass attempts (125 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Akron has averaged a sack every 62.5 pass attempts (125 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Central Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 137 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

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