Akron vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops reacts on the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Lexington, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022. (AP Photo/Michael Clubb)
(AP Photo/Michael Clubb)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • Kentucky is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Akron Zips visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Lexington.

Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-105).

The Akron vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+25.5 -11548.5 -110+1350
Kentucky -25.5 -10548.5 -110-5000

Akron vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 94.9% confidence.

Akron vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Akron have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.60 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tayvion Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Akron is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Akron is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Akron is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Kentucky is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -61.13% ROI
  • Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Akron is 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Akron is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425

Akron is 1-16 (.059) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Akron is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Kentucky is 12-6 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Kentucky was 2-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .473

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Kentucky

Kentucky’s RBs has rushed for 224 yards on 38 carries (5.9 YPC) this season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense have allowed just 2.1 YPC this season — tied for 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s RBs has rushed for 224 yards on 38 carries (5.9 YPC) this season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense have allowed just 2.9 YPC to RBs this season — tied for 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s RBs has rushed for 224 yards on 38 carries (5.9 YPC) this season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense have allowed just 2.1 YPC this season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Akron’s QBs has thrown for 4,285 passing yards in 14 games (306.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Akron’s QBs has thrown for 4,285 passing yards in 14 games (306.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 3,852 passing yards in 14 games (275.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron’s QBs has thrown for 4,285 passing yards in 14 games (306.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Akron’s QBs has thrown for 4,285 passing yards in 14 games (306.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 3,852 passing yards in 14 games (275.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Akron’s QBs has thrown for 4,285 passing yards in 14 games (306.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — seventh-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense has thrown for 3,852 passing yards in 14 games (275.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (258 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.8

Kentucky WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (258 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.1

Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (1,139 yards/173 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kentucky WRs have averaged 16.1 yards per target (258 yards/16 targets) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.2

Kentucky Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 1.0 receptions (4 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has not recorded a sack (49 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.4

Akron allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 284 attempts (5%) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Akron allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 284 attempts (5%) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron forced 5 fumbles on 395 carries (79.0 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 39.5

Akron allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (9 completions/22 attempts) in close and late situations in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 57%

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 19 rushing attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Kentucky allowed 7 touchdowns on 177 completions (25.3 Completions Per TD) in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Kentucky opponents has averaged 42.0 Passing Attempts per TD (294 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.8

Kentucky has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (13 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 19 rushing attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.