Akron vs Northern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Northern Illinois (3-8) are -10.5 point favorites vs Akron (1-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 53 points

The Akron Zips (1-9) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies (3-8) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in DeKalb.

Northern Illinois are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 53 total points.

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Akron vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+10.5 -11053 -110+290
Northern Illinois -10.5 -11053 -110-375

Akron vs Northern Illinois Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 66.8% confidence.

Akron vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 70.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Northern Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron has gone 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Akron is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -100% ROI
  • Akron is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Akron is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northern Illinois has gone 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • Northern Illinois is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -60.7% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois

Akron is winless (0-6) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .494

Akron is winless (0-10) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .497

Akron is winless (0-15) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .443

Akron is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois’s RBs has 4,644 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense has allowed 4,694 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-most among NonP5 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s offense has given up22 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has sacked the quarterback 26 times since the 2021 season — second-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s offense has given up22 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has sacked the quarterback 26 times since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.2 receptions (245 Rec/9 TDs) this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Akron have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (107/721) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Akron have been sacked 107 times since the 2021 season– most among FBS Offenses

Akron QBs have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Akron RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (513 yards/151 carries) — 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 12.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (309 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (440 yards / 48 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois RBs have rushed for 934 yards in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (402 yards / 50 touches) on 3rd down this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Northern Illinois QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 246 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 547 attempts (5%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 246 attempts (6%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Akron has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 547 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Akron has forced 4 fumbles on 357 carries (89.2 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.7

Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (52 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2021 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Northern Illinois has no interceptions (70 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.6

Northern Illinois has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6

Northern Illinois has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (52 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Northern Illinois has allowed first downs on 43% of pass attempts in close and late situations since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 30%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.