- Alabama Crimson Tide is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky Wildcats
- Alabama vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC | DIS+
Alabama (1-0) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-108).
The Alabama vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -10.5 -108 | 49.5 -110 | -400 |
| Kentucky | +10.5 -110 | 49.5 -108 | +320 |
Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Kentucky Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets Today
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.82 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama Crimson Tide is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Alabama is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.5% ROI
- Alabama is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Alabama is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky Wildcats is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 83.33% ROI).
- Kentucky is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.56% ROI
- Kentucky is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Alabama was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624
Alabama was 8-1 (.889) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Alabama was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Kentucky was 2-5 (.286) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Kentucky was 3-5 (.375) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Kentucky
Kentucky’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 366 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s TEs gained 567 yards on 45 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 3,953 passing yards in 15 games (263.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s QBs threw for 3,938 passing yards in 15 games (262.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Alabama’s QBs threw for 3,938 passing yards in 15 games (262.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Alabama were not intercepted (119 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Alabama threw 5 interceptions on 522 attempts (1 INT per 104.4 attempts) last season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 40.1
Alabama RBs averaged 19.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (135 yards / 7 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.6
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 366 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s TEs gained 567 yards on 45 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs gained 1,615 yards on 141 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) last season — T-2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama allowed 10 rushing TDs on 487 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Alabama forced 17 fumbles last season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– best in the SEC; Average: 21%
Alabama allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 28 of 394 attempts (7%) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%
Alabama has not allowed a TD in any of their last 23 drives — the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have the longest active streak at 25.
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.8
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– 3rd-lowest in FBS; Average: 30.5
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.0
Kentucky allowed 13.0 yards per completion (2,879 yards/221 completions) last season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 11.3
Kentucky allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (248 yards / 96 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7
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