Alabama vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:34 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (7-2) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Alabama vs. LSU is total points.

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Alabama vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama
LSU

Alabama vs LSU Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Alabama vs LSU Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • LSU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • LSU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • LSU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

#1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446

#1 Alabama is undefeated (17-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

#1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

#1 Alabama is 17-1 (.895) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .501

#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

LSU is 1-7 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .308

#25 LSU is 3-16 (.136) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. LSU

LSU’s QBs has 10 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for third-most among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 18 rushing TDs this season — tied for second-most among SEC defenses.

LSU’s QBs has 9 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 18 rushing TDs this season — tied for fourth-most among P5 defenses.

LSU’s QBs has 9 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — fourth-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama’s TEs has 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among FBS TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama’s TEs has 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among P5 TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama has 35 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Power 5 skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 19 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

#10 Alabama QBs have 20 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– most among FBS Teams

#10 Alabama QBs have 37 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#10 Alabama WRs have 1,644 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Alabama Skill Players have 2,190 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#10 Alabama RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (502 yards / 63 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

#7 LSU WRs have been targeted 153 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#7 LSU Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (387 yards/44 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

#7 LSU QBs have rushed for 10 TDs this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#7 LSU WRs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#7 LSU QBs have rushed for 597 yards this season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#10 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#10 Alabama has sacked opponents 81 times since last season– most in FBS

#10 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 21 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#10 Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (81/754) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#7 LSU has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 24 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#7 LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 30 of 283 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#7 LSU has allowed first downs on 41% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22%

#7 LSU has allowed a passer rating of just 87.7 in the Red Zone (26.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 156.6

#7 LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 115 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.