Alabama vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

• Alabama is a -3 point favorite vs. Missouri
• Alabama vs. Missouri Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Alabama (4-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Missouri (5-0) on Oct. 11 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Missouri Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Missouri vs Alabama & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Alabama vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Alabama vs Missouri Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Missouri, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Alabama vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Missouri vs Alabama and all games with BetMGM

Alabama Best Bets Today

• Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Missouri Best Bets Today

• Missouri has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Missouri have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Missouri have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.59 Units / 17% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.10 Units / 3% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

• Alabama is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -10.98% ROI
• Alabama is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
• Alabama is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri iss 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.68% ROI).

• Missouri is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.6% ROI
• Missouri is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
• Missouri is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .645

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Alabama is 13-3 (.812) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .643

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Missouri

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .645

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Alabama is 13-3 (.812) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .643

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .645

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Alabama is 13-3 (.812) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .643

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .645

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Alabama is 13-3 (.812) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .643

Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Bet now on Missouri vs Alabama and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!