Alabama vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

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South Carolina head coach Shane Beamer reacts to a call during the second quarter of the Gator Bowl NCAA college football game against Notre Dame on Friday, Dec. 30, 2022, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)

(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)

Alabama is a -12.5 point favorite vs. South Carolina
Alabama vs. South Carolina Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

Alabama (6-1) visit Williams-Brice Stadium to take on South Carolina (3-4) on Oct. 25 in Columbia, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Alabama vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Alabama	-12.5 -105	47.5 -110	-500
South Carolina	+12.5 -115	47.5 -110	360

Alabama vs South Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and South Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Alabama vs South Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Alabama Best Bets Today

Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)

South Carolina Best Bets Today

South Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
South Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 15% ROI)
South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 50.65% ROI).

Alabama is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -1.33% ROI
Alabama is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Alabama is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

South Carolina is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -27.72% ROI
South Carolina is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
South Carolina is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8

Alabama have thrown 22 TDs and just one interception this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.3

Alabama WRs have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (531 yards/23 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7

Alabama TEs had no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.8

Alabama have one interception on 235 attempts this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.4

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

South Carolina allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (9 completions/29 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (32 completions/81 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

South Carolina opponents averaged 39.6 Passing Attempts per TD (396 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 20.6

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (13 completions/36 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 56%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (32 completions/81 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 53%

Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. South Carolina