- Alabama is a -32.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Alabama Crimson Tide visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Tampa.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -33.5 (-110).
The Alabama vs. South Florida Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -33.5 -110 | 61.5 -115 | -10000 |
| South Florida | +33.5 -110 | 61.5 -105 | +2000 |
Alabama vs South Florida Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Alabama vs South Florida Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and South Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on South Florida vs Alabama and all games with BetMGM
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+8.48 Units / 82% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Best South Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Florida players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Alabama is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -100% ROI
- Alabama is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Alabama is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- South Florida is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- South Florida is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
#4 Alabama is 12-1 (.750) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .473
#4 Alabama is 11-4 (.688) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
#4 Alabama is 9-1 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .559
#4 Alabama is 20-4 (.741) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .493
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
South Florida is 1-19 (.048) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .520
South Florida is winless (0-22) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .396
South Florida is winless (0-20) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .426
South Florida is winless (0-21) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .383
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. South Florida
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 2,785 passing yards in 14 games (just 198.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 71 attempts this season — tied for 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 9.6% of attempts this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 2,785 passing yards in 14 games (just 198.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-best among SEC defenses.
Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.6% of 51 attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama has gained 4,141 yards on 311 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama has gained 481 yards on 31 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — second-best among SEC skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
#10 Alabama Skill Players have averaged 24.8 yards per reception (223 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.2
#10 Alabama RBs have averaged 15.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (218 yards / 14 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
#10 Alabama QBs have 44 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams
#10 Alabama Skill Players have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (673 yards/34 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
#10 Alabama Skill Players have averaged 24.8 yards per reception (223 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 2,785 passing yards in 14 games (just 198.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 71 attempts this season — tied for 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 9.6% of attempts this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 2,785 passing yards in 14 games (just 198.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-best among SEC defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 2,695 passing yards in 14 games (just 192.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-best among SEC defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 2,695 passing yards in 14 games (just 192.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 211.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
#10 Alabama has forced 5 fumbles on 402 carries (80.4 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 39.3
#10 Alabama has no interceptions (63 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
#10 Alabama has allowed a passer rating of 226.6 in close and late situations (8.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 122.7
#10 Alabama has allowed a passer rating of 226.6 in close and late situations (8.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.1
#10 Alabama has allowed a passer rating of just 112.0 (370.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 132.4
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida allowed a passer rating of 170.1 (345.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 130.7
South Florida allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (257 completions/345 attempts) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
South Florida allowed opponents to catch 256 of 344 passes (74% Reception Pct) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (329 completions/468 attempts) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
South Florida allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (257 completions/345 attempts) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
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