Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Coastal Carolina running back Braydon Bennett (1) carries against San Jose State during the first half of the Hawaii Bowl NCAA college football game, Saturday, Dec. 23, 2023, in Honolulu. (AP Photo/Marco Garcia)
(AP Photo/Marco Garcia)
  • Coastal Carolina is a -1 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
  • Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-4) visit Brooks Stadium to take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (4-4) on Nov. 7 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Coastal Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State+1 -11062.5 -110-105
Coastal Carolina -1 -11062.5 -110-115

Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Coastal Carolina will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Coastal Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Coastal Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jameson Tucker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ethan Vasko has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -27.68% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -25.68% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Appalachian State is 11-5 (.688) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463

Appalachian State is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .675

Appalachian State is 11-5 (.688) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .529

Appalachian State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Coastal Carolina is 10-4 (.714) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Coastal Carolina is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

Coastal Carolina is 12-5 (.706) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .583

Coastal Carolina is 2-5 (.286) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .475

Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has 329 receptions in 22 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 4,847 yards on 329 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s WRs has 329 receptions in 22 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 4,847 yards on 329 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State has 471 receptions in 22 games (21.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 1,774 yards on 116 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has gained 1,364 yards on 86 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina QBs have 26 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 27 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Appalachian State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (17 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 58 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Appalachian State has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (141 completions/207 attempts) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to catch 141 of 205 passes (69% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 14 passes (93% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Coastal Carolina has allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 14 passes (93% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Coastal Carolina has allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Coastal Carolina allowed 396.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst in FBS; Average: 157.1


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