- East Carolina Pirates is a -7 point favorite vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Appalachian State (1-0) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on East Carolina (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The East Carolina Pirates are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Appalachian State | +7 -102 | 56.5 -112 | +240 |
| East Carolina | -7 -115 | 56.5 -105 | -295 |
Appalachian State vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Appalachian State Mountaineers and the East Carolina Pirates, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets Today
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- App State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- App State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- App State have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets Today
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State Mountaineers is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 92.59% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.9% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- Appalachian State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina Pirates is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- East Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- East Carolina is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- East Carolina is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Appalachian State was 6-4 (.600) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Appalachian State was 9-3 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Appalachian State was 9-3 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .523
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602
East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
East Carolina was winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs averaged 23.2 targets per game last season — T-31st-highest among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 507 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s RBs averaged 6.2 targets per game last season — T-16th-highest among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State’s WRs averaged 23.2 targets per game last season — T-31st-highest among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 507 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s RBs averaged 6.2 targets per game last season — T-16th-highest among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State RBs had no touchdowns on 61 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.7
Appalachian State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs last season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina had 268.4 receiving yards per game last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Appalachian State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS
Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Appalachian State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
East Carolina allowed 8 rushing TDs on 70 carries (8.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina allowed 8 rushing TDs on 70 carries (8.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
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