Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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Georgia Southern head coach Clay Helton walks the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Coastal Carolina, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Statesboro, Ga. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
(AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:43 PM
  • Georgia Southern is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
  • Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-5) visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (7-4) on Nov. 30 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST.

Georgia Southern is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State+2.5 -10562.5 -110+115
Georgia Southern -2.5 -11562.5 -110-135

Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Georgia Southern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State and all games with BetMGM


  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Makai Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • JC French has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Dalen Cobb has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • JC French has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Josh Dallas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -23.08% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -13.81% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -51.82% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 43.64% ROI

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 6.68% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Appalachian State is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .724

Appalachian State is 12-6 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .467

Appalachian State is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Appalachian State is 12-6 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .526

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Georgia Southern is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .616

Georgia Southern is 9-3 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Georgia Southern is 7-4 (.636) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .534

Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs has rushed for 1,034 yards on 238 carries (just 4.3 YPC) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 2,712 passing yards in 10 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 259.9 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 2,712 passing yards in 10 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 259.9 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 6,542 passing yards in 24 games (272.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 2,712 passing yards in 10 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 259.9 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s QBs has thrown for 2,712 passing yards in 10 games (271.2 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 259.9 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 6,542 passing yards in 24 games (272.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State have 271.2 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 260.8 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State RBs have averaged 145.0 rushing yards per game (3,480/24) since the 2023 season– 31st-best among FBS Teams; Average: 126.0

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern TEs have been targeted 35 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 23.0 receptions per game (253/11) this season– T-19th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.7

Georgia Southern’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs has rushed for 1,034 yards on 238 carries (just 4.3 YPC) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 16 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to catch 176 of 249 passes (71% Reception Pct) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 32 rushing attempts (16% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Appalachian State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (176 completions/261 attempts) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State opponents has averaged just 13.7 Passing Attempts per TD (261 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) this season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 20.9

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 143 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (17/374) this season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (40/769) since the 2023 season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 46 of their 830 carries (6%) since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 62 rushing attempts (16% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.