- North Carolina is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Appalachian State
- Total (Over/Under): 58 points
- Watch the game on ACC Network
The Appalachian State Mountaineers visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:15pm EDT in Chapel Hill.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).
The Appalachian State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 58 total points.
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Appalachian State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Appalachian State | +17.5 -105 | 58 -110 | +600 |
| North Carolina | -17.5 -115 | 58 -110 | -900 |
Appalachian State vs North Carolina Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 90.1% confidence.
Appalachian State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 72.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.79 Units / 14% ROI)
Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+1.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.08% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Appalachian State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- North Carolina is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- North Carolina is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
Appalachian State was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352
Appalachian State is winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
#21 North Carolina was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. North Carolina
Drake Maye (NC) has 4.6 TDs per interception (41/9) since the 2021 season — seventh-best of Qualified Quarterbackss. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 1.5 TDs per Interception since the 2021 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Bryson Nesbit (NC) has 35.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — 10th-best of Qualified Tight Endss. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 26.3 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2021 season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Bryson Nesbit (NC) gained 20 or more yards on 25.7% of 35 receptions in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best of Qualified Tight Endss. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 19.4% of receptions in the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 797 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense averaged 2.3 passing TDs per game in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 359 attempts in the 2022 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 797 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Skill Players had 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State’s offense averaged 2.3 passing TDs per game in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 359 attempts in the 2022 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
#21 North Carolina RBs have averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (207 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3
#21 North Carolina TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (9/1) this season– tied for 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
#21 North Carolina TEs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions this season– tied for most among FBS Teams
#21 North Carolina TEs have 41 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
#21 North Carolina WRs have averaged 20.7 yards per reception (186 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 83 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16.0
Appalachian State has allowed a passer rating of just 116.1 in the Red Zone (83.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 166.1
Appalachian State opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (83 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9
Appalachian State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 83 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8
Appalachian State has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.4
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
#21 North Carolina has averaged 9.0 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0
#21 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 31 rushing attempts (45% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
#21 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 31 rushing attempts (45% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
#21 North Carolina has sacked opponents 9 times this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams
#21 North Carolina has averaged 9.0 sacks per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 2.0
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