Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 10:12 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-3) visit Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Marcos.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Appalachian State vs. Texas State is total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State
Texas State

Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 72.1% confidence.

Appalachian State vs Texas State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Camerun Peoples has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Appalachian State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Appalachian State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Appalachian State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State Skill Players have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State Skill Players have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas State Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (612 yards/69 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Texas State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/1) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

Texas State TEs have averaged just 0 receptions per game (0/1) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 1.7

Texas State QBs have averaged just -4.8 Yards per Carry (-72 yards/15 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.0

Texas State RBs have averaged just 2.8 Yards per Carry (142 yards/50 carries) in the 1st half this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has not recorded a sack (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Appalachian State has not recorded a sack (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

Appalachian State has allowed a passer rating of just 104.6 in the Red Zone (61.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 170.5

Appalachian State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 17 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 9%

Appalachian State opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (61 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas State has allowed one passing TD (129 pass attempts) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.8

Texas State has allowed one passing TD (129 pass attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Texas State has allowed one touchdown on 83 completions this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

Texas State has no interceptions (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.2

Texas State has allowed one touchdown on 83 completions this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.