Arizona vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Colorado head coach Deion Sanders in the first half of the team's spring practice NCAA college football game Saturday, April 22, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Arizona is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Houston
  • Arizona vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Arizona (4-2) visit TDECU Stadium to take on Houston (5-1) on Oct. 18 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Arizona vs. Houston Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona-1.5 -10546.5 -110-115
Houston +1.5 -11546.5 -110-105

Arizona vs Houston Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Arizona is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.47% ROI
  • Arizona is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Arizona is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Houston is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 9.51% ROI
  • Houston is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Houston is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

Arizona’s TEs has gained 92 yards on 15 receptions (just 6.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,650 passing yards in 6 games (275.0 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona’s WRs has 275 receptions in 18 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Big 12 Teams

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Houston was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Houston

Houston was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Arizona’s TEs has gained 92 yards on 15 receptions (just 6.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,650 passing yards in 6 games (275.0 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona’s WRs has 275 receptions in 18 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Big 12 Teams

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona’s TEs has gained 92 yards on 15 receptions (just 6.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,650 passing yards in 6 games (275.0 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona’s WRs has 275 receptions in 18 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Big 12 Teams

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona’s TEs has gained 92 yards on 15 receptions (just 6.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,650 passing yards in 6 games (275.0 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona’s WRs has 275 receptions in 18 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Big 12 Teams

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481


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