- Mississippi State is a -9 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- Watch the game on SEC Network
The Arizona Wildcats visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Starkville.
Mississippi State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).
The Arizona vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona | +9 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +280 |
| Mississippi State | -9 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -350 |
Arizona vs Mississippi State Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 78.3% confidence.
Arizona vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Mississippi State vs Arizona and all games with BetMGM
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+6.80 Units / 142% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+3.45 Units / 86% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 95% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jayden de Laura has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jacob Cowing has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jayden de Laura has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Wiley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tanner McLachlan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jo’quavious Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jaden Walley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jo’quavious Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Will Rogers has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Will Rogers has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Arizona is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 15.09% ROI
- Arizona is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 12.22% ROI
- Mississippi State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Mississippi State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Arizona was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .415
Arizona is winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .287
Arizona is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414
Arizona is 2-12 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Mississippi State was 5-1 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2022 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .504
Mississippi State is undefeated (4-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .521
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Mississippi State
Mississippi State’s offense has thrown for 9,170 passing yards in 27 games (339.6 YPG) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 231.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Mississippi State’s TEs has 1 receptions in 6 games (just 0.2 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among FBS TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 18.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Mississippi State gained 4,023 yards on 426 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for second-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Arizona’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 194 receptions (14.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 25th-best among FBS WRs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs gained 474 yards on 38 receptions (12.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — third-best among Pac-12 TEs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona gained 3,810 yards on 282 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 194 receptions (14.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 25th-best among FBS WRs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs gained 474 yards on 38 receptions (12.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — third-best among Pac-12 TEs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona gained 3,810 yards on 282 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona RBs averaged 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd down in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Arizona gained 3,810 yards on 282 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 skill players. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State Skill Players have averaged 36.4 receptions per game (873/24) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 25.5 receptions per game (611/24) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0
Mississippi State RBs have been targeted 13.3 times per game (320/24) since the 2021 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Mississippi State Skill Players have been targeted 50.4 times per game (1,209/24) since the 2021 season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 30.5
Mississippi State Skill Players have averaged 36.4 receptions per game (873/24) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.6
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has no interceptions and 32 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Arizona has intercepted 8 of 657 attempts (82.1 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 38.0
Arizona has allowed 5.9 touchdowns per interception (47 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.9
Arizona has allowed a passer rating of 238.1 in the Red Zone (84.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 163.4
Arizona has allowed 5.9 touchdowns per interception (47 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.8
Mississippi State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State has forced 4 fumbles this season– tied for 2nd-most in FBS
Mississippi State has forced 4 fumbles this season– tied for 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Mississippi State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 13 of 45 carries (29%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 17%
Mississippi State has allowed just 9.0 yards per completion (144 yards/16 completions) this season– tied for 24th-best in FBS; Average: 11.8
Mississippi State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 13 of 45 carries (29%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%
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