- Arizona is a -3 point favorite vs. SMU
- Arizona vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- Holiday Bowl TV Channel: FOX
Arizona (9-3) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on SMU (8-4) on Jan. 2 in San Diego, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
Arizona is a betting favorite in the Holiday Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Arizona vs. SMU Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Arizona vs SMU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and SMU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona Best Bets Today
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
SMU Best Bets Today
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 11 games (+11.25 Units / 87% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Arizona is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 16.98% ROI
- Arizona is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Arizona is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU iss 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI).
- SMU is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.86% ROI
- SMU is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- SMU is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. SMU
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s TEs has gained 242 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has averaged 25.3 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense has allowed 16.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
SMU RBs have averaged 12.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (267 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 428 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU TEs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (293 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 56 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 12 games (283.5 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 155.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. SMU
SMU RBs have averaged 12.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (267 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 428 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU TEs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (293 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 56 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 12 games (283.5 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 155.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s TEs has gained 242 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has averaged 25.3 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense has allowed 16.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s TEs has gained 242 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has averaged 25.3 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense has allowed 16.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends
SMU RBs have averaged 12.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (267 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 428 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU TEs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (293 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 56 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 12 games (283.5 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 155.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s TEs has gained 242 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has averaged 25.3 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense has allowed 16.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed 24.2 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends
SMU RBs have averaged 12.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (267 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 428 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU TEs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (293 yards/13 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
SMU’s TEs has gained 673 yards on 56 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
SMU’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 12 games (283.5 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 155.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
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