Arizona St. vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:07 AM
  • Arizona (4-7) are -4 point favorites vs Arizona St. (3-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 65 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Arizona State Sun Devils (3-9) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (5-7) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Tucson.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Arizona St. vs. Arizona Over/Under is total points.

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Arizona St. vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona St.
Arizona

Arizona St. vs Arizona Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 57.2% confidence.

Arizona St. vs Arizona Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St. and Arizona, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Arizona St. Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona St. players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Emory Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Xazavian Valladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden de Laura has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Dorian Singer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jacob Cowing has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jayden de Laura has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+4.80 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona St. is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 20.85% ROI
  • Arizona is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Arizona is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona St.: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Arizona State is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

Arizona State is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Arizona State is 2-10 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .345

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona St.

Arizona is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .467

Arizona is 1-12 (.077) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Arizona is 1-11 (.083) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Arizona is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Matchup Notes for Arizona St. vs. Arizona

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 3,421 passing yards in 10 games (342.1 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 244.8 passing yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (295 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Arizona State RBs have rushed for 11 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Arizona State RBs have rushed for 31 TDs on 101 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for best Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Arizona State RBs have picked up first downs on 14 receptions in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Arizona State Skill Players have caught 101 of 143 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 3,421 passing yards in 10 games (342.1 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 244.8 passing yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Arizona WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Arizona have gone for two on 17% of PATs since last season– highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has not recorded a sack (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7

Arizona State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 6 of 735 attempts (1%) since last season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 2%

Arizona State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 69 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Arizona State has allowed first downs on 88% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 49%

Arizona State has allowed 32 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (44 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Arizona has allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (44 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona has intercepted 2 of 326 attempts (163.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.4

Arizona has no interceptions (75 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Arizona has allowed 9.5 touchdowns per interception (19 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) — worst in FBS; Average: 1.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.