- Duke is a -3 point favorite vs. Arizona St
- Arizona State vs. Duke Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
Arizona State (8-4) visit Sun Bowl to take on Duke (8-5) on Dec. 31 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.
Duke is a betting favorite in the Music City Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Duke Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Arizona State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Arizona State vs Duke Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Duke, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona State vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona State Best Bets Today
- Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.47 Units / 17% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Duke Best Bets Today
- Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.54 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -11.83% ROI).
- Arizona State is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 10.43% ROI
- Arizona State is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Arizona State is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke iss 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -3.86% ROI).
- Duke is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.58% ROI
- Duke is 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.06% ROI
- Duke is 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.85 Units / -41.05% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Duke
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has gained 520 yards on 46 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 3,307 passing yards in 12 games (275.6 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 225.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Duke RBs have averaged 8.3 Yards per Carry (450 yards/54 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 16.4
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.1 receptions (241 Rec/8 TDs) in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Duke
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 16.4
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.1 receptions (241 Rec/8 TDs) in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has gained 520 yards on 46 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 3,307 passing yards in 12 games (275.6 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 225.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Duke RBs have averaged 8.3 Yards per Carry (450 yards/54 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has gained 520 yards on 46 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 3,307 passing yards in 12 games (275.6 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 225.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Duke RBs have averaged 8.3 Yards per Carry (450 yards/54 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 16.4
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.1 receptions (241 Rec/8 TDs) in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has gained 520 yards on 46 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 413 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Duke’s offense has thrown for 3,307 passing yards in 12 games (275.6 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 225.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Duke RBs have averaged 8.3 Yards per Carry (450 yards/54 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 16.4
Arizona State WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Arizona State TEs had no touchdowns on 55 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.1 receptions (241 Rec/8 TDs) in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
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