Arizona St vs Iowa St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell walks off the field after an NCAA college football game against Oklahoma, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022, in Ames, Iowa. Oklahoma won 27-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Iowa St is a -7 point favorite vs. Arizona St
  • Arizona State vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

Arizona State (5-3) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on Iowa State (5-3) on Nov. 1 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

Iowa St is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).

The Arizona State vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Arizona State vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona State+7 -11549.5 -115220
Iowa State -7 -10549.5 -105-275

Arizona State vs Iowa State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Iowa St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona State vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -15.52% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -3.23% ROI
  • Arizona State is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Arizona State is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -16.38% ROI).

  • Iowa State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 4.54% ROI
  • Iowa State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Iowa State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 17.1

Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Iowa State

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 17.1

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 17.1

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has 225 receptions in 22 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 17.1

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5


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