Arizona St vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 10, 2025, 11:27 AM

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Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham watches action during the first half in the Rose Bowl NCAA college football game against Penn State Monday, Jan. 2, 2023, in Pasadena, Calif.

(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

Utah is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Arizona St
Arizona State vs. Utah Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

Arizona State (4-1) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on Utah (4-1) on Oct. 11 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Arizona State vs. Utah Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Arizona State vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Arizona State	+8.5 -110	45.5 -115	275
Utah	-8.5 -110	45.5 -105	-350

Arizona State vs Utah Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona State vs Utah Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Arizona State Best Bets Today

Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Arizona State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Utah Best Bets Today

Utah has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 4% ROI)
Utah have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.67% ROI).

Arizona State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 6.96% ROI
Arizona State is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Arizona State is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

Utah is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 3.6% ROI
Utah is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Utah is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Utah was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Utah is 4-8 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Utah is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .275

Utah is 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .473

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 13%.

Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 22 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 11 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Utah