Arizona St. vs Washington State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Washington State (5-4) are -7.5 point favorites vs Arizona St. (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • Watch the game on Pac-12 Network

The Arizona State Sun Devils (3-8) visit Martin Stadium to take on the Washington State Cougars (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Pullman.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Arizona St. vs. Washington State is total points.

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Arizona St. vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona St.
Washington State

Arizona St. vs Washington State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 64.3% confidence.

Arizona St. vs Washington State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 68.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St. and Washington State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Arizona St. Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona St. players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Emory Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Xazavian Valladay has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Washington State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nakia Watson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Donovan Ollie has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cameron Ward has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+13.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona St. is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 9.95% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
  • Arizona St. is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Washington State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 33.54% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • Washington State is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Arizona St.: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Arizona State is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Arizona State is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Arizona State is 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona St.

Washington State is 5-2 (.625) when rushing more than 30 times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Washington State is 10-2 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .552

Washington State is 9-2 (.643) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .484

Washington State is 1-3 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Matchup Notes for Arizona St. vs. Washington State

Washington State’s TEs has 8 receptions in 8 games (just 1.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 19.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State has 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State has 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (16/124) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 7%

Arizona State RBs have picked up first downs on 13 receptions in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Arizona State WRs have caught 46 of 67 passes (69% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Arizona State Skill Players have caught 87 of 121 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 61%

Arizona State WRs have caught 26 of 35 passes (74% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State WRs have been targeted 100 times in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Washington State’s TEs has 8 receptions in 8 games (just 1.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 19.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State WRs have 57 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Washington State RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (833 yards/126 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Washington State has 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 48 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Arizona State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 48 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Arizona State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (58 completions/81 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Arizona State has allowed opponents to catch 58 of 81 passes (72% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Arizona State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (58 completions/81 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 58%

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has forced 35 fumbles since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Washington State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (30 completions/79 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Washington State has forced 35 fumbles since last season– most in FBS

Washington State has allowed a passer rating of just 117.1 in the Red Zone (79.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.9

Washington State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 46 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 9%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.