Arizona vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • UCLA (8-1) are -19.5 point favorites vs Arizona (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 77.5 points

The Arizona Wildcats (4-7) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (8-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pasadena.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Arizona vs. UCLA is total points.

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Arizona vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona
UCLA

Arizona vs UCLA Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 72.8% confidence.

Arizona vs UCLA Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden de Laura has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dorian Singer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jayden de Laura has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -19.68% ROI
  • Arizona is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Arizona is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UCLA is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 11.75% ROI
  • UCLA is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • UCLA is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Arizona is winless (0-12) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

Arizona is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Arizona is winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Arizona is winless (0-14) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .408

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

#9 UCLA is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

#9 UCLA is 7-3 (.583) when not losing a fumble — tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443

#9 UCLA is 10-1 (.833) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 4th-best in FBS; Average: .500

#9 UCLA is 8-4 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .378

Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. UCLA

UCLA’s RBs has rushed for 1,297 yards on 202 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — third-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s RBs have 54.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 216.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s RBs has rushed for 1,297 yards on 202 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — third-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC this season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 2,698 passing yards in 8 games (337.2 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 261.0 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has 10 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-most among Power 5 WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 2,698 passing yards in 8 games (337.2 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 261.0 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona WRs have averaged 24.4 yards per reception (342 yards/14 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona have gone for two on 19% of PATs since last season– highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Arizona WRs have 37 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Arizona WRs have averaged 24.4 yards per reception (342 yards/14 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.0

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

#9 UCLA RBs have averaged 15.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (242 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#9 UCLA RBs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#9 UCLA Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/1) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

#9 UCLA RBs have averaged 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (623 yards / 70 touches) on 3rd down since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

#9 UCLA Punters have punted 1.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (42 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona has allowed a passer rating of 250.8 in the Red Zone (67.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.9

Arizona has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (42 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Arizona has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

#9 UCLA has sacked opposing QBs just once on 85 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

#9 UCLA has sacked opposing QBs just once on 85 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

#9 UCLA’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%

#9 UCLA’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 13% of PATs since last season– highest in FBS; Average: 4%

#9 UCLA has allowed 45.4 receiving yards per game (907/20) to RBs since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 26.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.