Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:42 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on

The Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Auburn.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Arkansas vs. Auburn is total points.

Bet now on Auburn vs Arkansas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Arkansas vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas
Auburn

Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 55.8% confidence.

Arkansas vs Auburn Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 66.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arkansas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Auburn is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Auburn is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Auburn is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Arkansas is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .503

Arkansas is 4-13 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

Arkansas is 4-12 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Arkansas is 2-7 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Auburn is 3-8 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Auburn is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

Auburn is 2-6 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Auburn is 2-9 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Auburn

Auburn’s TEs has 77 receptions in 20 games (3.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC TEs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s TEs has 22 receptions in 7 games (3.1 per game) this season — fourth-best among SEC TEs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s TEs has 77 receptions in 20 games (3.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC TEs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 1.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has 37 receptions in 19 games (just 1.9 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among SEC TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has just 0.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas’s WRs has just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas’s TEs has 37 receptions in 19 games (just 1.9 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among SEC TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has just 0.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas’s WRs has just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Arkansas QBs have rushed for 207 yards on 1st down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Auburn QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Auburn RBs have averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (240 yards / 25 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Auburn Skill Players have caught just 7 of 23 passes (30% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Auburn QBs have fumbled 9 times this season– most among FBS Teams

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas opponents has averaged 7.6 Passing Attempts per TD (61 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Arkansas defense has allowed 34 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd fewest in FBS

Arkansas has allowed 34 receptions for 20+ yards this season– 2nd fewest in FBS

Arkansas opponents has averaged 7.6 Passing Attempts per TD (61 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Arkansas defense has allowed 34 completions for 20 or more yards this season– fewest among Power 5 Teams

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has intercepted one of 176 attempts this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.6

Auburn has intercepted one of 176 attempts this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 37.0

Auburn has allowed 17 rushing TDs this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Auburn has allowed 13 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Auburn has allowed 1,298 rushing yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Auburn vs Arkansas and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.