- UL Lafayette is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas St
- Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-3) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST.
UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Arkansas State | +16.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +525 |
Louisiana | -16.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -750 |
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Louisiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- no trends found
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ben Wooldridge has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lance LeGendre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Harvey Broussard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 11.72% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Lafayette is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).
- Louisiana is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 25% ROI
- Louisiana is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Louisiana is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana
Arkansas State is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .710
Arkansas State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
Arkansas State is 8-2 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .602
Arkansas State is 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Louisiana is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Louisiana is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .621
Louisiana is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .609
Matchup Notes for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 238 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,996 yards on 547 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense have allowed 5.0 YPC since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s TEs has gained 435 yards on 60 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among FBS TEs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State has gained 2,005 yards on 180 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana TEs have averaged 26.0 yards per reception (78 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 238 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 2,996 yards on 547 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense have allowed 5.0 YPC since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (61 completions/88 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Arkansas State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 16 carries (44%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Arkansas State allowed opponents to catch 44 of 57 passes (77% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (25 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (25 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Louisiana has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in FBS
Louisiana has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
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