Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

• Tennessee is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas
• Arkansas vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 68.5 points
• TV Channel: SECN

Arkansas (2-3) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (4-1) on Oct. 11 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 68.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Arkansas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Arkansas vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arkansas vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Arkansas and all games with BetMGM

Arkansas Best Bets Today

• Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Tennessee Best Bets Today

• Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

• Arkansas is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -15.25% ROI
• Arkansas is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
• Arkansas is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee iss 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI).

• Tennessee is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 11.17% ROI
• Tennessee is 5-0 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Tennessee is 0-5 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 1,686 yards on 120 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,686 passing yards in 5 games (337.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 257.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Tennessee has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Tennessee has sacked opponents 10 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 42 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Tennessee

Tennessee has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Tennessee has sacked opponents 10 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 42 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 1,686 yards on 120 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,686 passing yards in 5 games (337.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 257.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 1,686 yards on 120 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,686 passing yards in 5 games (337.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 257.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Tennessee has sacked opponents 10 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 42 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 1,686 yards on 120 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 186 attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,686 passing yards in 5 games (337.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 257.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Tennessee has sacked opponents 10 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 28 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 42 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Arkansas and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!