- The Texas A&M Aggies are a -14 point favorite vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks
- Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Arkansas (2-2) visit Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M (2-2) on Oct. 3 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Texas A&M Aggies are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14 (-108).
The Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | +14 -110 | 51.5 -135 | +475 |
| Texas A&M | -14 -108 | 51.5 +100 | -625 |
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Texas A&M Aggies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks and all games with BetMGM
Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets Today
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+42.55 Units / 119% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.86 Units / 12% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas Razorbacks is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -21.74% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Arkansas is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M Aggies is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -50.63% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Arkansas is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Arkansas is winless (0-10) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Arkansas is winless (0-10) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .463
Arkansas is 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Texas A&M is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .633
Texas A&M is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .449
Texas A&M is 11-1 (.917) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .684
Texas A&M is 12-4 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 407 attempts last season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.5% of attempts last season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.7
Arkansas TEs have averaged 18.3 yards per reception (750 yards/41 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 12.6
Texas A&M WRs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.5
Texas A&M Skill Players caught just 10 of 27 passes(37% Reception Pct) last week– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 66%
Texas A&M WRs have averaged just 11.4 yards per reception (629 yards/55 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.2
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas has allowed 13.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8
Arkansas has allowed 14 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
Arkansas allowed passes of 20+ yards on 49 of 339 attempts (14%) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%
Arkansas has intercepted one of 105 attempts this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 36.3
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7
Texas A&M intercepted 3 of 379 attempts (126.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 39.4
Texas A&M allowed 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.0
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
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