Army vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Air Force head coach Troy Calhoun warms up before an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Air Force is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Army
  • Army vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Army (3-4) visit Falcon Stadium to take on Air Force (2-5) on Nov. 1 in U.S. Air Force Academy, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Army vs. Air Force Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Army vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army+1.5 -11048.5 -110-105
Air Force -1.5 -11048.5 -110-115

Army vs Air Force Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 50.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Army vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 50.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.73 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • Army is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.02% ROI
  • Army is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Army is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).

  • Air Force is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -69.78% ROI
  • Air Force is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
  • Air Force is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Air Force is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .354

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Army was undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was 10-2 (.833) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Matchup Notes for Army vs. Air Force

Army was undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was 10-2 (.833) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Air Force is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .354

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Air Force is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .354

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

Army was undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was 10-2 (.833) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Army Defensive Stats & Trends

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Air Force is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .354

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends

Army was undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was 10-2 (.833) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470


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