Army vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Troy (7-2) are -9 point favorites vs Army (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The Army Black Knights (4-6) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (9-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Troy.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Army vs. Troy is total points.

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Army vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army
Troy

Army vs Troy Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 63.2% confidence.

Army vs Troy Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.54 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+4.96 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Army is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -34.75% ROI
  • Army is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Army is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 31.74% ROI
  • Troy is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Troy is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Army is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .347

Army is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .620

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Troy is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .367

Matchup Notes for Army vs. Troy

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 77 attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 77 attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — second-worst among FBS defenses.

Army has gained 730 yards on 32 receptions (22.8 YPR) this season — best among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (730 yards/32 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Army have completed passes for 20+ yards on 40 of their 187 total passing attempts (21%) since last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.4 receptions per game (92/21) since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.0 receptions per game (32/8) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.4

Army WRs have averaged just 2.3 receptions per game (48/21) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy Skill Players have caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Army has no interceptions (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.9

Army has allowed 17 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most in FBS

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (38 completions/52 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 86% (18 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 303 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

Troy has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (40 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 303 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Troy has allowed 9 touchdowns on 185 completions (20.6 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Troy opponents has averaged 33.7 Passing Attempts per TD (303 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.