Army vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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UTSA quarterback Frank Harris warms up before the Cure Bowl NCAA college football game against Troy, Friday, Dec. 16, 2022, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)
(AP Photo/John Raoux)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:10 AM
  • UTSA is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Army
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Army Black Knights visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Antonio.

is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at ().

The Army vs. UTSA Over/Under is total points.

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Army vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army
UTSA

Army vs UTSA Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 77.4% confidence.

Army vs UTSA Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Army is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -4.72% ROI
  • UTSA is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTSA is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Army is winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457

Army is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .342

Army is winless (0-1) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Army was winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Army

UTSA is 17-4 (.739) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .510

UTSA is 11-2 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .444

UTSA is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .398

UTSA was 9-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .518

Matchup Notes for Army vs. UTSA

UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 4,794 passing yards in 16 games (299.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 167.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA has gained 423 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s offense has thrown for 4,631 passing yards in 16 games (289.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 167.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s TEs has 3 receptions in 7 games (just 0.4 per game) since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among FBS TEs. UTSA’s defense has allowed just 2.3 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s RBs have 37.8 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 33.9 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Army’s RBs has rushed for 170 yards on 46 carries (just 3.7 YPC) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense have allowed just 2.0 YPC this season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army WRs have averaged just 2.3 receptions per game (63/27) since the 2021 season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Army Skill Players averaged just 3.5 receptions per game (38/11) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Army Skill Players averaged 23.1 yards per reception (879 yards/38 catches) in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Army Skill Players have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (2,457 yards/115 catches) since the 2021 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Army Skill Players have averaged just 3.9 receptions per game (55/14) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 4,794 passing yards in 16 games (299.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 167.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA has gained 423 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s offense has thrown for 4,631 passing yards in 16 games (289.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 167.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA QBs have 15 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

UTSA’s WRs has gained 328 yards on 33 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed 167.6 Passing Yards per game (2,347/14) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 239.6

Army has allowed just 157.6 receiving yards per game (2,207/14) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 225.4

Army has allowed just 157.6 receiving yards per game (2,207/14) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 225.0

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (55 completions/74 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Army has allowed 167.6 Passing Yards per game (2,347/14) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 239.1

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (39 completions/102 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 69 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (39 completions/102 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 39 of 102 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 39 of 102 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%


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