Auburn vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:16 PM

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Fireworks go off at Donald W Reynolds Razorback Stadium as the Arkansas Razorbacks take the field to play the Auburn Tigers during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark.

(AP Photo/Michael Woods)

Arkansas is a -1 point favorite vs. Auburn
Auburn vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: SECN

Auburn (3-4) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (2-5) on Oct. 25 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Auburn	+1 -110	55.5 -105	-105
Arkansas	-1 -110	55.5 -115	-115

Auburn vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 51.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Auburn vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Auburn Best Bets Today

Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 0% ROI)
Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)

Arkansas Best Bets Today

Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

Auburn is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.99% ROI
Auburn is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
Auburn is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

Arkansas is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -21.88% ROI
Arkansas is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Arkansas is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8

Arkansas’s TEs has gained 484 yards on 23 receptions (21.0 YPR) this season — best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Arkansas has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Arkansas TEs have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (868 yards/56 catches) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.0 yards per reception (484 yards/23 catches) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.3

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 23 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC

Arkansas has allowed 7.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,107 yards / 401 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.2

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.8

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Arkansas