Auburn vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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California running back Jaydn Ott (6) runs against UCLA linebacker Laiatu Latu (15) during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Berkeley, Calif., Friday, Nov. 25, 2022. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:00 PM
  • Auburn is a -6.5 point favorite vs. California
  • Total (Over/Under): 54 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Auburn Tigers visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Berkeley.

Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. California Over/Under is 54 total points.

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Auburn vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn-6.5 -11054 -110-250
California +6.5 -11054 -110+200

Auburn vs California Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 71.7% confidence.

Auburn vs California Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 63.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and California, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robby Ashford has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ja’Varrius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Robby Ashford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jack Plummer has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Auburn is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -5.6% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Auburn is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • California is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 47.62% ROI
  • California is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • California is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

California: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

California is 1-14 (.059) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .286

California is 5-6 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

California was winless (0-8) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .310

California was 2-1 (.500) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. California

California has gained 6,182 yards on 551 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.

California’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS defenses.

California’s WRs had 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 3,603 yards on 252 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs gained 1,319 yards on 82 receptions (16.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense threw for 2,072 passing yards in 12 games (just 172.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 287.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among P5 defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn RBs averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (168 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Auburn’s WRs has gained 3,603 yards on 252 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs gained 1,319 yards on 82 receptions (16.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense threw for 2,072 passing yards in 12 games (just 172.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 287.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among P5 defenses.

Auburn’s WRs gained 1,319 yards on 82 receptions (16.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 28th-best among FBS defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California RBs have averaged 333.0 rushing yards per game (333/1) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.9

California has gained 6,182 yards on 551 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.

California RBs have rushed for 6 TDs this season– tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams

California’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS defenses.

California RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th-most among FBS Teams

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 27 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Auburn tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 75 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Auburn has sacked opposing QBs on 17% of pass attempts (4/24) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Auburn allowed 26 rushing TDs on just 409 carries (15.7 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 24.6

Auburn has intercepted one of 24 attempts this season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: 37.0

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

California has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

California sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (14/408) in the 2022 season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

California allowed 50.7 receiving yards per game (558/11) to RBs in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 25.8

California has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.97


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.