- N Illinois is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Ball St
- Ball State vs. Northern Illinois Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Ball State (3-4) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on Northern Illinois (1-6) on Oct. 25 in DeKalb, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
N Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +5.5 -110 | 41.5 -115 | 180 |
| Northern Illinois | -5.5 -110 | 41.5 -105 | -220 |
Ball State vs Northern Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 64.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball St and N Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets Today
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Northern Illinois Best Bets Today
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.96 Units / 48% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball St is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Ball State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 56.59% ROI
- Ball State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Ball State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois iss 1-6 against the spread this college football season (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -46.61% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s QBs has thrown for 846 passing yards in 7 games (just 120.9 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.3 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 3,842 passing yards in 19 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Northern Illinois
Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s QBs has thrown for 846 passing yards in 7 games (just 120.9 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.3 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 3,842 passing yards in 19 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s QBs has thrown for 846 passing yards in 7 games (just 120.9 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.3 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 3,842 passing yards in 19 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 19 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s QBs has thrown for 846 passing yards in 7 games (just 120.9 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.3 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 3,842 passing yards in 19 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
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