- W Michigan is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Ball St
- Ball State vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Ball State (2-3) visit Waldo Stadium to take on Western Michigan (3-3) on Oct. 11 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +9.5 -110 | 43.5 -115 | 280 |
| Western Michigan | -9.5 -110 | 43.5 -105 | -350 |
Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 74.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball St and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets Today
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Western Michigan Best Bets Today
- Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball St is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Ball State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 80.9% ROI
- Ball State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Ball State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan iss 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 25.78% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Western Michigan is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .543
Western Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s TEs has 111 receptions in 17 games (6.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Western Michigan
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s TEs has 111 receptions in 17 games (6.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .543
Western Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .543
Western Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s TEs has 111 receptions in 17 games (6.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .543
Western Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Ball State’s WRs has 164 receptions in 17 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s TEs has 111 receptions in 17 games (6.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
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