Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:05 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Ball State Cardinals (4-3) visit Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (2-5) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Mount Pleasant.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Ball State vs. Central Michigan is total points.

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Ball State vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State
Central Michigan

Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 63.7% confidence.

Ball State vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and Central Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.38 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ball State are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Ball State are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Ball State are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Michigan has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Michigan are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Central Michigan are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Central Michigan are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Central Michigan

Ball State’s tight end unit has 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most among FBS TE corps. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-most among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ball State TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Ball State TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Ball State TEs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ball State TEs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ball State TEs have 21 receptions in the 1st half this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan TEs have 12 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan TEs have been targeted 12 times in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan TEs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan TEs have been targeted 15 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ball State Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends

Ball State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 18 of 200 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ball State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 18 of 200 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Ball State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (4/151) this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Ball State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 83 of 728 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– tied for 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Ball State has allowed 13 rushing TDs this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has allowed a passer rating of 364.0 in the Red Zone (10.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 164.7

Central Michigan has allowed a passer rating of 364.0 in the Red Zone (10.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 179.6

Central Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 37 of 158 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Central Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 135 of 623 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Central Michigan has intercepted 7 of 564 attempts (80.6 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 37.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.