Ball State vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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FILE - Georgia tight end Brock Bowers (19) plays against Charleston Southern during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 20, 2021, in Athens, Ga. Alabama’s Nick Saban said last month that his players made more than $3 million in NIL deals over the last year and his SEC rival, Georgia's Kirby Smart, got even more specific. (AP Photo/John Bazemore, File)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • Georgia is a -42.5 point favorite vs. Ball State
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Ball State Cardinals visit Sanford Stadium to take on the Georgia Bulldogs on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Athens.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -42.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Georgia Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+42.5 -11052.5 -110+
Georgia -42.5 -11052.5 -110+

Ball State vs Georgia Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Ball State vs Georgia Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and Georgia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brock Bowers has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ladd McConkey has hit the Receptions Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Daijun Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Ball State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 4.67% ROI
  • Ball State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Ball State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Georgia is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 9.53% ROI
  • Georgia is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Georgia is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Ball State was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

Ball State is winless (0-5) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Ball State is winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .390

Ball State is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State

#1 Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .383

#1 Georgia is undefeated (12-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .421

#1 Georgia was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .414

#1 Georgia is 23-1 (.885) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .514

Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Georgia

Georgia’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 492 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS RBs. Ball State’s defense allowed just 9.7 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS RBs. Ball State’s defense allowed just 6.3 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Ball State has gained 5,583 yards on 557 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s WRs has gained 3,906 yards on 368 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s RBs has averaged 5.0 targets per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ball State has gained 5,583 yards on 557 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State WRs averaged a touchdown every 34.5 receptions (138 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Ball State’s WRs has gained 3,906 yards on 368 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s RBs has averaged 5.0 targets per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ball State TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs had 615 receiving yards on 1st down in the 2022 season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 2,188 receiving yards since the 2021 season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ball State Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends

Ball State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (44 completions/101 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Ball State allowed 10 TDs in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Ball State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (21 completions/51 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 55%

Ball State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 6 of 101 attempts (6%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Ball State allowed just 11.2 yards per completion (2,552 yards/228 completions) in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (22 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

#1 Georgia opponents has averaged 51.9 Passing Attempts per TD (882 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.3

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (22 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#1 Georgia opponents has averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (78 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

#1 Georgia has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 754 carries (125.7 Carries Per TD) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.