- Ohio State Buckeyes is a -50.5 point favorite vs. Ball State Cardinals
- Ball State vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Ball State (0-0) visit Ohio Stadium to take on Ohio State (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 pm.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -50.5 (-108).
The Ball State vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +50.5 -110 | 56.5 -108 | Not Found |
| Ohio State | -50.5 -108 | 56.5 -110 | Not Found |
Ball State vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State Cardinals and Ohio State Buckeyes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets Today
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets Today
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 2% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Ball State was 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Ball State was 3-8 (.273) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Ohio State was 11-1 (.917) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Ohio State was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Ohio State was 14-1 (.933) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657
Ohio State was 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Ohio State
Ohio State had 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. Ball State’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs had 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Ball State’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs had 189.4 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Ball State’s defense allowed 191.0 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 278 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State gained 1,660 yards on 156 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception last season — best among P5 defenses.
Ball State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 278 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 278 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State gained 1,660 yards on 156 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception last season — best among P5 defenses.
Ball State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 278 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Ball State’s QBs threw for 1,583 passing yards in 12 games (just 131.9 YPG) last season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 129.7 passing yards per game last season — best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense threw for 1,679 passing yards in 12 games (just 139.9 YPG) last season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 129.7 passing yards per game last season — best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State WRs caught 193 of 251 passes(77% Reception Pct) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Ohio State WRs were targeted 24 times in the 4th quarter last season– fewest among Power Conference Teams
Ohio State Skill Players caught 313 of 395 passes(79% Reception Pct) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 64%
Ohio State TEs had 13 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ohio State Skill Players caught 313 of 395 passes(79% Reception Pct) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 65%
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State allowed 37 TD passes last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Ball State allowed 37 TD passes last season– 2nd-most in FBS
Ball State did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Ball State had no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Ball State did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State allowed 5 rushing TDs on 425 carries (85 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 25.8
Ohio State opponents averaged 44.1 Passing Attempts per TD (441 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Ohio State allowed 5 rushing TDs on 425 carries (85 Carries Per TD) last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.1
Ohio State’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 28% of PATs last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Ohio State allowed 5 rushing TDs on 425 carries (85 Carries Per TD) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 24
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