Baylor vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

• TCU is a -3 point favorite vs. Baylor
• Baylor vs. TCU Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2

Baylor (4-2) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on TCU (4-2) on Oct. 18 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

TCU is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Baylor vs. TCU Over/Under is 66.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Baylor vs TCU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and TCU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Baylor vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Baylor Best Bets Today

• Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.90 Units / 13% ROI)

TCU Best Bets Today

• TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• TCU have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Baylor is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -68.66% ROI).

• Baylor is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 4.13% ROI
• Baylor is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Baylor is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU iss 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI).

• TCU is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 5.15% ROI
• TCU is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
• TCU is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

Baylor Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Skill Players have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Baylor’s offense has thrown for 2,092 passing yards in 6 games (348.7 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 240.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor TEs have been targeted 14 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

TCU was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. TCU

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

TCU was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Baylor Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Skill Players have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Baylor’s offense has thrown for 2,092 passing yards in 6 games (348.7 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 240.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor TEs have been targeted 14 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

Baylor Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Skill Players have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Baylor’s offense has thrown for 2,092 passing yards in 6 games (348.7 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 240.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor TEs have been targeted 14 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

TCU was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends

Baylor Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Skill Players have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Baylor’s offense has thrown for 2,092 passing yards in 6 games (348.7 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 240.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor TEs have been targeted 14 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

TCU was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

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