Boise State vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

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Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. drops back to pass during an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Seattle. Washington won 54-7. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 1:30 PM
  • Washington is a -14.5 point favorite vs Boise State
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Boise State Broncos visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Seattle.

is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().

The Boise State vs. Washington Over/Under is total points.

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Boise State vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State
Washington

Boise State vs Washington Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 83.6% confidence.

Boise State vs Washington Spread Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 63.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise State and Washington, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Stefan Cobbs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylen Green has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Taylen Green has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Washington Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jalen McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ja’Lynn Polk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dylan Morris has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Dylan Morris has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise State went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Boise State went 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -7.24% ROI
  • Boise State went 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Boise State went 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Washington went 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 11.53% ROI
  • Washington went 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 25.17% ROI
  • Washington went 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -33.57% ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Boise State is winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .288

Boise State is 14-4 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Boise State is 13-4 (.765) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .511

Boise State is 13-1 (.929) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .555

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

#10 Washington is 8-1 (.889) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .588

#10 Washington is 9-2 (.643) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .461

#10 Washington was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .556

#10 Washington is 13-3 (.765) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .504

Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Washington

Washington’s WRs gained 3,647 yards on 255 receptions (14.3 YPR) in the 2022 season — third-best among Pac-12 WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs had 65 receptions in 13 games (5.0 per game) in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 TEs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 13.4 receptions per game in the 2022 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Washington’s QBs threw for 4,861 passing yards in 13 games (373.9 YPG) in the 2022 season — best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense allowed just 182.9 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State’s offense threw for 2,649 passing yards in 14 games (just 189.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense threw for 2,649 passing yards in 14 games (just 189.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Boise State’s QBs threw for 2,760 passing yards in 14 games (just 197.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State’s offense threw for 2,649 passing yards in 14 games (just 189.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense threw for 2,649 passing yards in 14 games (just 189.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Boise State’s QBs threw for 2,760 passing yards in 14 games (just 197.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s QBs threw for 2,760 passing yards in 14 games (just 197.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Washington’s defense allowed 270.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Boise State’s WRs had just 139.1 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense allowed 195.6 receiving yards per game to WRs in the 2022 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs gained 3,647 yards on 255 receptions (14.3 YPR) in the 2022 season — third-best among Pac-12 WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs had 65 receptions in 13 games (5.0 per game) in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 TEs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 13.4 receptions per game in the 2022 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Washington’s QBs threw for 4,861 passing yards in 13 games (373.9 YPG) in the 2022 season — best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense allowed just 182.9 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Washington’s TEs had 65 receptions in 13 games (5.0 per game) in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 TEs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 1.4 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 7,507 passing yards in 25 games (300.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 200.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — eighth-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (68 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Boise State opponents averaged 14.5 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

Boise State has not recorded a sack (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.0

Boise State opponents averaged 14.5 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Boise State has not recorded a sack (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.3

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Washington forced 5 fumbles on 448 carries (89.6 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 40.4

#10 Washington allowed 13.4 yards per completion (3,521 yards/263 completions) in the 2022 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: 12.6

#10 Washington has allowed just 11.7 yards per completion (5,359 yards/457 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: 12.7

#10 Washington opponents has averaged 5.4 Passing Attempts per TD (76 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#10 Washington has allowed 214.4 Passing Yards per game (5,359/25) since the 2021 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: 242.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.