Boston College vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

• Cincinnati Bearcats is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Boston College Eagles
• Boston College vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX

Boston College (0-0) visit Nippert Stadium to take on Cincinnati (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Boston College vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Boston College vs Cincinnati Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 64.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College Eagles and Cincinnati Bearcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Boston College Best Bets Today

• Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Boston College have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Cincinnati Best Bets Today

• Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati

Boston College was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Boston College was 6-3 (.667) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .523

Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Cincinnati was 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Cincinnati

Cincinnati’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 364 attempts last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Cincinnati’s TEs gained 520 yards on 36 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Cincinnati gained 3,006 yards on 225 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s WRs gained 2,188 yards on 162 receptions (13.5 YPR) last season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among FBS TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College’s WRs gained 2,188 yards on 162 receptions (13.5 YPR) last season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among FBS TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College’s TEs had 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) last season — best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20.0 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Boston College TEs were targeted 10.5 times per game (126/12) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Boston College TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 364 attempts last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Cincinnati were sacked 8 times on 364 pass attempts (one sack every 45.5 pass attempts) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.7

Cincinnati RBs averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (1,025 yards/143 carries) in the 1st half last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Cincinnati’s TEs gained 520 yards on 36 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Cincinnati gained 3,006 yards on 225 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Boston College had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Boston College had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Boston College tackled opponents for a loss on just 50 of 422 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.6

Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8

Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 35.4

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