Boston College vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

FILE - Louisville head coach Jeff Brohm shouts instructions to his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023. Louisville enters without Jack Plummer, who led Jeff Brohm's first-year program to its first ACC title game berth. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley, FIle)
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • Louisville is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Boston College
  • Boston College vs. Louisville Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Boston College (1-6) visit L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Louisville (5-1) on Oct. 25 in Louisville, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).

The Boston College vs. Louisville Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College+25.5 -11055.5 -1101300
Louisville -25.5 -11055.5 -110-3000

Boston College vs Louisville Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 75.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Louisville, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.76 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.16% ROI).

  • Boston College is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -18.87% ROI
  • Boston College is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
  • Boston College is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Louisville is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 6.38% ROI
  • Louisville is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Louisville is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville has 423 receptions in 19 games (22.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Louisville was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Louisville

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Louisville was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville has 423 receptions in 19 games (22.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville has 423 receptions in 19 games (22.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Louisville was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville has 423 receptions in 19 games (22.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,693 passing yards in 6 games (282.2 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 256.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Louisville was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429


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