Boston College vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • NC State (7-2) are -19.5 point favorites vs Boston College (2-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The Boston College Eagles (3-8) visit Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Raleigh.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Boston College vs. NC State is total points.

Bet now on NC State vs Boston College & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Boston College vs. NC State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College
NC State

Boston College vs NC State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts NC State will win this game with 64% confidence.

Boston College vs NC State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts NC State will cover the spread with 54% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and NC State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Boston College Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boston College players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Pat Garwo III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Zay Flowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Phil Jurkovec has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Phil Jurkovec has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.49 Units / 16% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Boston College is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -60.16% ROI
  • Boston College is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Boston College is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • NC State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 16.61% ROI
  • NC State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • NC State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. NC State

Boston College is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Boston College is 2-11 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Boston College is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

Boston College is 2-10 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

NC State: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

#23 North Carolina State is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

#23 North Carolina State is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

#23 North Carolina State is 9-3 (.750) when not losing a fumble — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .507

#14 North Carolina State is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2020 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .619

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. NC State

North Carolina State’s TEs has 20 receptions in 17 games (just 1.2 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has 20 receptions in 17 games (just 1.2 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs have just 11.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 184.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — best among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s offense has given up31 sacks this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has sacked the quarterback 14 times this season — second-fewest among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s RBs has rushed for 490 yards on 141 carries (just 3.5 YPC) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC this season — tied for fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s offense has 510 rushing yards this season — fewest among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 803 rushing yards this season — fewest among ACC defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College RBs have averaged 61.2 rushing yards per game (490/8) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 130.5

Boston College WRs have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (185 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Boston College RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (490 yards/141 carries) this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Boston College RBs have averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (164 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Boston College RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (340 yards / 99 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

NC State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State’s TEs has 20 receptions in 17 games (just 1.2 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

#17 North Carolina State RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

#17 North Carolina State RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#17 North Carolina State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 188 carries (94 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

#17 North Carolina State RBs have fumbled 6 times this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (6 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Boston College has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (39 completions/85 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (6 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 63%

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 North Carolina State has forced one fumble on 215 carries this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 39.4

#17 North Carolina State has forced one fumble on 215 carries this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 39.7

#17 North Carolina State has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 60%

#17 North Carolina State has 14 interceptions this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

#17 North Carolina State has averaged 1.45 interceptions per game (29/20) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.86


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on NC State vs Boston College and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.