Boston College vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • Notre Dame (7-3) are -21 point favorites vs Boston College (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Boston College Eagles (3-8) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in South Bend.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Boston College vs. Notre Dame is total points.

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Boston College vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College
Notre Dame

Boston College vs Notre Dame Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 74.4% confidence.

Boston College vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 68.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Notre Dame, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Boston College Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boston College players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Pat Garwo III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Zay Flowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Phil Jurkovec has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Phil Jurkovec has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drew Pyne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Lorenzo Styles has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Michael Mayer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Audric Estime has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Boston College is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • Boston College is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • Boston College is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -25.62% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Boston College is 4-5 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times — 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Boston College is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

Boston College is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Boston College is 3-11 (.188) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Notre Dame is 14-2 (.875) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .538

Notre Dame is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510

Notre Dame is 16-4 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .515

Notre Dame is 19-2 (.731) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s TEs has 128 receptions in 22 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among P5 defenses.

Notre Dame’s TEs has 128 receptions in 22 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among P5 defenses.

Notre Dame’s TEs has 128 receptions in 22 games (5.8 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among P5 TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among ACC defenses.

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College RBs have rushed for one TD on 15 carries in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Boston College RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (497 yards/151 carries) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Boston College Punters have punted 1.5 times per game this season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Boston College WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (428 yards/24 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

Boston College RBs have averaged 55.2 rushing yards per game (497/9) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 130.8

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

#18 Notre Dame TEs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#18 Notre Dame TEs have been targeted 31 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

#18 Notre Dame TEs have picked up first downs on 15 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#18 Notre Dame TEs have been targeted 17 times in the Red Zone this season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#18 Notre Dame TEs have been targeted 21 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (6 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (6 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 63%

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (40 completions/90 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 59%

Boston College has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 8.9

Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (38 completions/91 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 Notre Dame has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 268 attempts (0%) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 2%

#18 Notre Dame has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 22%

#18 Notre Dame has sacked opponents 25 times on 1st down since last season– tied for 5th most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.