Bowling Green vs Kent St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:16 PM

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(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

Bowling Green is a -7 point favorite vs. Kent St
Bowling Green vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Bowling Green (3-4) visit Dix Stadium to take on Kent State (2-5) on Oct. 25 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Bowling Green vs. Kent State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bowling Green	-7 -115	47.5 -110	-285
Kent State	+7 -105	47.5 -110	230

Bowling Green vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 73.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Kent St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Bowling Green vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Bowling Green Best Bets Today

Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.99 Units / 25% ROI)
Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Kent State Best Bets Today

Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+6.40 Units / 106% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

Bowling Green is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 7.65% ROI
Bowling Green is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Bowling Green is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent St iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

Kent State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Kent State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Kent State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Bowling Green TEs had 26 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green WRs have no touchdowns on 46 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 11.4 times per game (229/20) since the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Bowling Green’s WRs has 141 receptions in 20 games (just 7.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State WRs averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Kent State RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (310 yards / 98 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State’s WRs has 174 receptions in 19 games (just 9.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State RBs have averaged 22.5 yards per reception (292 yards/13 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.9

Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Kent State