- Liberty is a -10 point favorite vs Bowling Green
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Bowling Green Falcons visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Lynchburg.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bowling Green vs. Liberty Over/Under is total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | |||
| Liberty |
Bowling Green vs Liberty Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 83.2% confidence.
Bowling Green vs Liberty Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 75.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bowling Green Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Bowling Green players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaison Patterson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+14.75 Units / 151% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+12.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+5.60 Units / 65% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.94 Units / 23% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Bowling Green went 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 44.38% ROI
- Bowling Green went 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Bowling Green went 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Liberty went 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.15 Units / -39.51% ROI
- Liberty went 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Liberty went 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
Bowling Green was winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Liberty is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .558
Liberty was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .545
Liberty is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .621
Liberty is 11-3 (.786) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Liberty
Johnathan Bennett (LIB) threw for 1,534 passing yards in 11 games (just 139.5 YPG) in the 2022 season — seventh-worst of Qualified Quarterbackss. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 267.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s QBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for 14th-best among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs had 77 receptions in 13 games (5.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs had 77 receptions in 13 games (5.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 17.6 receptions per game in the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs had just 141.6 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 199.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green RBs rushed for 2 TDs on 285 carries (142.5 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1
Bowling Green’s TEs had 77 receptions in 13 games (5.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs had 77 receptions in 13 games (5.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 17.6 receptions per game in the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 8 TDs on 92 carries (11.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Bowling Green TEs had 23 receptions on 3rd down in the 2022 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty Skill Players have 31 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Liberty QBs fumbled 12 times in the 2022 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Liberty WRs have averaged 16.9 yards per reception (1,199 yards/71 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– 8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
Liberty Skill Players averaged just 10.3 yards per reception (237 yards/23 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for 12th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 15.7 yards per reception (1,542 yards/98 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Bowling Green has no interceptions (74 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 34.9
Bowling Green has no interceptions (74 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.3
Bowling Green had no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.2
Bowling Green has allowed 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (637 yards / 84 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.0
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/390) in the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%
Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 219 of 1,037 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Liberty tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 518 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Liberty sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/390) in the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Liberty tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 518 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
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