- Michigan is a -40.5 point favorite vs. Bowling Green
- Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- Watch the game on BTN
The Bowling Green Falcons visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Ann Arbor.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -40.5 (-110).
The Bowling Green vs. Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | +40.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +2500 |
| Michigan | -40.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -10000 |
Bowling Green vs Michigan Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Bowling Green vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+6.25 Units / 130% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.60 Units / 82% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receptions Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bowling Green is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bowling Green is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Michigan is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 9.12% ROI
- Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Bowling Green is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
Bowling Green was winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .452
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
#2 Michigan is 14-1 (.933) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .492
#2 Michigan is 24-1 (.960) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .510
#2 Michigan is 17-3 (.850) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .421
#2 Michigan is 16-2 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Michigan
Michigan’s WRs has gained 417 yards on 27 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has gained 417 yards on 27 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs have just 145.8 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 182.7 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s TEs has 87 receptions in 15 games (5.8 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has gained 505 yards on 36 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs have just 138.7 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 188.7 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green’s TEs has 87 receptions in 15 games (5.8 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green RBs rushed for 2 TDs on 42 carries (21 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Bowling Green has gained 505 yards on 36 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs have just 138.7 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 188.7 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
#2 Michigan RBs have averaged 190.4 rushing yards per game (5,713/30) since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.9
Michigan’s WRs has gained 417 yards on 27 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
#2 Michigan RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (466 yards / 37 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
#2 Michigan RBs averaged 216.1 rushing yards per game (2,377/11) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8
#2 Michigan RBs have averaged 197.3 rushing yards per game (3,157/16) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.9
Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has no interceptions (83 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.7
Bowling Green has sacked opponents 20 times on 1st down since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Bowling Green has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 69 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Bowling Green sacked opponents 16 times on 1st down in the 2022 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Bowling Green has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 69 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
#2 Michigan allowed 5 rushing TDs on 309 carries (61.8 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 23.8
#2 Michigan allowed 3 rushing TDs on 30 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8
#2 Michigan allowed 3 rushing TDs on 30 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7
#2 Michigan’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 5%
#2 Michigan allowed 5 rushing TDs on 309 carries (61.8 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 24.6
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