Bowling Green vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • Nebraska Cornhuskers is a -29 point favorite vs. Bowling Green Falcons
  • Bowling Green vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Bowling Green (0-1) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -29 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Bowling Green Falcons & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Bowling Green vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+29 -10851.5 -105+2500
Nebraska -29 -11051.5 -112-10000

Bowling Green vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 93.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bowling Green Falcons and the Nebraska Cornhuskers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Bowling Green vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Bowling Green Falcons and all games with BetMGM


  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green Falcons is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska Cornhuskers is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.35% ROI
  • Nebraska is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Nebraska is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Bowling Green was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Bowling Green was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Bowling Green was 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Bowling Green was 6-2 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska was 7-2 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s RBs averaged 9.3 yards after the catch last season — 31st-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s RBs gained 701 yards on 74 receptions (9.5 YPR) last season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch last season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green’s offense threw for 1,715 passing yards in 11 games (just 155.9 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green’s offense threw for 1,715 passing yards in 11 games (just 155.9 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Bowling Green’s QBs threw for 1,642 passing yards in 11 games (just 149.3 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Bowling Green WRs had no touchdowns on 2 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Bowling Green’s offense threw for 1,715 passing yards in 11 games (just 155.9 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Bowling Green’s offense threw for 1,715 passing yards in 11 games (just 155.9 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Bowling Green TEs averaged 124.9 receiving yards per game (1,624/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 37.2

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

Nebraska RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players had no touchdowns on 27 receptions in close and late situations last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.1

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 22.0 receptions (286 Rec/13 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Nebraska TEs had just one touchdown on 59 receptions last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green did not record a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Bowling Green did not record a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Bowling Green allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (277 yards / 54 touches) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Bowling Green tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 29 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Bowling Green allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (15 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska allowed 154.1 Passing Yards per game (2,003/13) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 217.1

Nebraska allowed 100.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 161.6

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2


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