Bowling Green vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2022, 7:16 PM
  • Ohio (8-3) are -6.5 point favorites vs Bowling Green (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) visit Frank Solich Field at Peden Stadium to take on the Ohio Bobcats (8-3) on Nov. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Athens.

Ohio are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-120).

The Bowling Green vs. Ohio Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+6.5 -11055.5 -120+185
Ohio -6.5 -12055.5 -110-250

Bowling Green vs Ohio Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 63.6% confidence.

Bowling Green vs Ohio Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Ohio, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+14.65 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+13.30 Units / 151% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+6.60 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 69.08% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio has gone 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • Ohio is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 30.79% ROI
  • Ohio is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Ohio is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Bowling Green is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 41 carries (20.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 231 carries (115.5 Carries Per TD) — 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.8

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 8 TDs on 89 carries (11.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 8.7 times per game (192/22) since the 2021 season– 4th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Bowling Green TEs have 412 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio QBs have 17 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio WRs have 30 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio QBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio QBs have 55 completions for 20 or more yards — tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio Skill Players have 56 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green has no interceptions (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.6

Bowling Green has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6

Bowling Green has sacked opponents 16 times on 1st down this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Bowling Green has averaged 3.4 sacks per game this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

Bowling Green has allowed 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (566 yards / 75 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has allowed 162 first down receptions this season– most in FBS

Ohio has allowed 162 first down receptions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Ohio has allowed 3,626 Passing Yards — most in FBS

Ohio has allowed 26 TD passes — tied for 2nd-most in FBS

Ohio has allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone — 5th-most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.