Bowling Green vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Penn State quarterback Drew Allar (15) runs with the ball against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Piscataway, N.J. Penn State won 55-10. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:32 PM
  • Penn State is a -34.5 point favorite vs. Bowling Green
  • Bowling Green vs. Penn State Total(Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Bowling Green Falcons 1-0 visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions 1-0 on Sep. 7 in University Park, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Penn State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+34.5 -11048.5 -110+
Penn State -34.5 -11048.5 -110+

Bowling Green vs Penn State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bowling Green vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 86.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Penn State and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Bowling Green Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today

          Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Bowling Green is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

          • Bowling Green was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -100% ROI
          • Bowling Green was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI

          Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Penn State is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).

          • Penn State was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 33.33% ROI
          • Penn State was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
          • Penn State was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

          Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

          Bowling Green is 8-1 (.667) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .567

          Bowling Green is 8-4 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .496

          Bowling Green is 9-2 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

          Bowling Green is 4-8 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

          Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

          Penn State is 16-1 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .551

          Penn State is 21-3 (.840) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .535

          Penn State is 15-2 (.833) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .486

          Penn State is 18-3 (.720) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .437

          Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Penn State

          Penn State’s TEs had 71 receptions in 13 games (5.5 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

          Penn State’s TEs had 71 receptions in 13 games (5.5 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 15.5 receptions per game last season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

          Penn State’s RBs averaged 10.1 yards after the catch last season — 14th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Bowling Green’s offense threw for 2,449 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

          Bowling Green’s QBs threw for 2,449 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 passing yards per game last season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

          Bowling Green’s RBs averaged 10.0 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

          Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

          Bowling Green’s offense threw for 2,449 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

          Bowling Green’s QBs threw for 2,449 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 passing yards per game last season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

          Bowling Green’s RBs averaged 10.0 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

          Bowling Green’s RBs averaged 10.0 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Penn State’s defense allowed 11.3 RAC last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

          Bowling Green’s QBs threw for 2,449 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

          Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

          Penn State TEs have caught 23 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams

          Penn State TEs have 32 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams

          Penn State TEs were targeted 28 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

          Penn State TEs caught 16 touchdown passes in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

          Penn State TEs have caught 23 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Power Conference Teams

          Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

          Bowling Green has sacked opponents 33 times on 1st down since the 2022 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

          Bowling Green sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (33/339) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

          Bowling Green tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 60 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

          Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (74/796) since the 2022 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

          Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (65 completions/100 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

          Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends

          Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

          Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

          Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

          Penn State tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 27 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

          Penn State opponents has averaged 38.3 Passing Attempts per TD (842 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4


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